Tunisia vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1993 |
TUN
1 - 1
GER
23%
26%
52%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1993 |
TUN
0 - 1
SUI
29%
29%
42%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUN
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
TUN
3 - 0
ETH
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
BEN
0 - 5
TUN
20%
27%
53%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
ISL
1 - 0
LUX
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1993 |
ISL
0 - 1
USA
36%
26%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1993 |
ISL
2 - 0
HUN
21%
26%
52%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 1993 |
ISL
1 - 1
RUS
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1993 |
LUX
1 - 1
ISL
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |