Tunisia vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
67.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 0
TUN
88%
9%
3%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2018 |
TUN
2 - 2
TUR
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
POR
2 - 2
TUN
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
TUN
1 - 0
CRC
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
TUN
1 - 0
IRN
30%
28%
43%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
ENG
2 - 0
CRC
70%
19%
11%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ENG
2 - 1
NGA
75%
17%
8%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
ENG
1 - 1
ITA
54%
24%
21%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
NED
0 - 1
ENG
50%
23%
27%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
ENG
0 - 0
BRA
23%
23%
54%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |