Tunisia vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
67.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
GHA
0 - 0
TUN
43%
29%
28%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
FRA
3 - 1
TUN
77%
17%
6%
|
87 | 99 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
TUN
5 - 0
SYC
89%
9%
2%
|
87 | 48 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
BFA
0 - 0
TUN
23%
27%
49%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
TUN
1 - 1
ANG
59%
24%
17%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
NED
3 - 1
SWE
66%
21%
13%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 1
NED
20%
24%
56%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
NED
2 - 0
ISL
80%
15%
5%
|
98 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
MKD
1 - 2
NED
9%
20%
71%
|
98 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
NED
1 - 2
AUS
74%
18%
8%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |