Tunisia vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
27%
23%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
13.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
TUN
2 - 0
MUS
91%
7%
2%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
TUN
4 - 0
SYC
90%
8%
2%
|
87 | 50 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
SYC
0 - 3
TUN
10%
21%
70%
|
87 | 49 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
52%
27%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
TUN
2 - 0
LBY
66%
22%
12%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
ALG
0 - 2
GUI
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
GUI
2 - 2
GAM
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
GAM
0 - 2
GUI
30%
27%
44%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
CIV
1 - 0
GUI
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
CPV
1 - 0
GUI
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |