Tunisia vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
TUN
3 - 0
COD
62%
22%
17%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
TUN
2 - 1
RWA
77%
16%
8%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
TUN
2 - 1
BEN
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
TUN
2 - 0
BEN
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
TUN
2 - 0
RSA
46%
27%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
RWA
1 - 1
GUI
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
COD
1 - 2
GUI
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2004 |
BFA
0 - 1
GUI
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
MOZ
3 - 4
GUI
31%
27%
43%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
GUI
1 - 0
MOZ
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |