Tunisia vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
9.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
TUN
1 - 0
SEN
52%
26%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
TUN
1 - 0
CMR
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2003 |
TUN
0 - 0
GHA
60%
24%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
TUN
1 - 0
SWE
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
TUN
0 - 0
EGY
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
GUI
3 - 0
ETH
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
LBR
1 - 2
GUI
26%
24%
50%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
NIG
1 - 0
GUI
27%
25%
49%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
GUI
2 - 0
NIG
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
MLI
1 - 0
GUI
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |