Tunisia vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
TUN
1 - 0
SWE
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
TUN
0 - 0
EGY
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
POR
1 - 1
TUN
79%
16%
5%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
TUN
1 - 1
FRA
14%
22%
64%
|
84 | 99 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2002 |
TUN
0 - 2
JPN
17%
23%
60%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
BEN
1 - 0
GHA
16%
24%
60%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
GHA
3 - 0
BEN
81%
14%
5%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
EGY
0 - 0
GHA
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
GHA
0 - 1
NGA
35%
29%
37%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
SLE
2 - 1
GHA
38%
29%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |