Tunisia vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
59.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
CMR
2 - 2
TUN
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
GAB
0 - 0
TUN
21%
25%
54%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
ZAM
1 - 1
TUN
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
TUN
1 - 2
GAM
71%
20%
9%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
MOZ
1 - 0
TUN
22%
27%
51%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2010 |
FRA
2 - 1
CRC
69%
20%
11%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
FRA
0 - 2
ESP
31%
26%
43%
|
97 | 99 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 1
IRL
73%
18%
9%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
IRL
0 - 1
FRA
14%
21%
66%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
FRA
3 - 1
AUT
70%
20%
10%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |