Tunisia vs France analysis

Tunisia France
86 ELO 96
-17% Tilt -16.7%
317º General ELO ranking 29º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
15.7%
Tunisia
25.2%
Draw
59.2%
France

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
Tunisia
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
59.2%
Win probability
France
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Tunisia
France
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tunisia
Tunisia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2010
CMR
Cameroon
2 - 2
Tunisia
TUN
55%
24%
21%
86 88 2 0
17 Jan. 2010
GAB
Gabon
0 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
21%
25%
54%
86 75 11 0
13 Jan. 2010
ZAM
Zambia
1 - 1
Tunisia
TUN
26%
26%
48%
86 79 7 0
09 Jan. 2010
TUN
Tunisia
1 - 2
Gambia
GAM
71%
20%
9%
87 68 19 -1
14 Nov. 2009
MOZ
Mozambique
1 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
22%
27%
51%
87 69 18 0

Matches

France
France
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2010
FRA
France
2 - 1
Costa Rica
CRC
69%
20%
11%
96 87 9 0
03 Mar. 2010
FRA
France
0 - 2
Spain
ESP
31%
26%
43%
97 99 2 -1
18 Nov. 2009
FRA
France
1 - 1
Ireland
IRL
73%
18%
9%
98 93 5 -1
14 Nov. 2009
IRL
Ireland
0 - 1
France
FRA
14%
21%
66%
98 93 5 0
14 Oct. 2009
FRA
France
3 - 1
Austria
AUT
70%
20%
10%
98 88 10 0