Tunisia vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
TUN
18%
26%
56%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
TUN
1 - 0
SEN
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
SEN
0 - 0
TUN
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
EGY
0 - 1
TUN
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
TUN
2 - 1
BOT
71%
20%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
EGY
0 - 1
SEN
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
EGY
2 - 0
BOT
81%
14%
6%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 2
EGY
20%
26%
54%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
EGY
0 - 1
TUN
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
SEN
2 - 0
EGY
25%
26%
50%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |