Tunisia vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
16.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.9%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.2%
2.2%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
TUN
3 - 0
CTA
86%
12%
2%
|
86 | 12 | 74 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
OMA
2 - 1
TUN
36%
28%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
TUN
3 - 0
ANG
58%
25%
17%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 1
TUN
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
TUN
1 - 0
COD
63%
22%
14%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 1
BOT
20%
24%
57%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
EQG
2 - 0
CHA
65%
21%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
TOG
0 - 0
CHA
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
MWI
6 - 2
CHA
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ETH
1 - 0
CHA
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |