African WC Qual. 3rd Round Final
Global 1-4
Tunisia vs Cameroon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
TUN
3 - 0
CPV
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
TUN
3 - 0
CGO
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUN
45%
27%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
TUN
0 - 1
MAR
48%
27%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
EQG
1 - 1
TUN
11%
22%
67%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Cameroon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CMR
1 - 0
LBY
66%
22%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
COD
0 - 0
CMR
29%
28%
43%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
TOG
0 - 3
CMR
16%
26%
58%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
UKR
0 - 0
CMR
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CMR
2 - 1
TOG
74%
18%
9%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |