Tunisia vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
17.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
TUN
2 - 1
EGY
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
TUN
18%
26%
56%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
TUN
1 - 0
SEN
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
SEN
0 - 0
TUN
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
EGY
0 - 1
TUN
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
MLI
2 - 0
ALG
43%
28%
29%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ALG
3 - 1
ETH
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
ALG
3 - 0
MWI
74%
18%
8%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MWI
0 - 2
ALG
25%
28%
48%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 0
MLI
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |