Tunisia vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1981 |
NPL
1 - 4
TUN
30%
24%
47%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
NPL
1 - 2
TUN
30%
24%
47%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
TUN
1 - 1
CMR
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
TUN
0 - 1
MLT
76%
15%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
MAR
2 - 2
TUN
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1981 |
ALG
2 - 1
NGA
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
NGA
0 - 2
ALG
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
NIG
1 - 0
ALG
35%
24%
41%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1981 |
ALG
4 - 0
NIG
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1981 |
ALG
2 - 0
SEN
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |