Tunisia vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1971 |
TUN
1 - 0
SRB
36%
23%
41%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1970 |
TUN
2 - 0
LBY
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1969 |
LBY
3 - 2
TUN
60%
18%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 1969 |
CGO
4 - 1
TUN
47%
22%
32%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
CMR
4 - 2
TUN
58%
19%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1972 |
ALG
1 - 0
MLT
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1972 |
ALG
3 - 1
SRB
46%
22%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1972 |
IRQ
3 - 1
ALG
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1972 |
ALG
4 - 1
YEM
74%
15%
11%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1972 |
ALG
0 - 1
SRB
45%
22%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |