Tunisia vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
TUN
0 - 2
ALG
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
TUN
1 - 0
EGY
32%
26%
43%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
TUN
2 - 1
OMA
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
TUN
1 - 0
UAE
49%
25%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
SYR
2 - 0
TUN
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MLI
1 - 0
UGA
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
RWA
0 - 3
MLI
20%
26%
54%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
KEN
0 - 1
MLI
17%
25%
58%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
MLI
5 - 0
KEN
70%
20%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
UGA
0 - 0
MLI
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |