Tunisia vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
NIG
0 - 5
TUN
14%
23%
63%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 1
NGA
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
TUN
2 - 2
GUI
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
TUN
2 - 1
MTN
79%
16%
6%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
MTN
1 - 2
TUN
13%
23%
64%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 0
MLI
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ZIM
0 - 1
MLI
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
MLI
2 - 2
UGA
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 0
BOT
70%
20%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
MLI
19%
24%
58%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |