Tunisia vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
TUN
5 - 0
CHA
89%
9%
2%
|
86 | 47 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
TUN
3 - 0
CTA
86%
12%
2%
|
86 | 12 | 74 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
OMA
2 - 1
TUN
36%
28%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
TUN
3 - 0
ANG
58%
25%
17%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 1
TUN
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ZIM
2 - 1
MLI
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MLI
1 - 0
ZIM
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2011 |
COD
1 - 1
MLI
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
CMR
1 - 0
MLI
63%
23%
15%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
CIV
1 - 0
MLI
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |