Tunisia vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
13.3%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.8%
8%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
LBR
0 - 1
TUN
9%
20%
72%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
TUN
0 - 1
GAM
70%
21%
10%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
MAD
2 - 3
TUN
19%
25%
56%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
TUN
16%
24%
61%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
TUN
0 - 1
COM
74%
19%
7%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
MWI
0 - 1
NAM
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
MWI
2 - 0
COM
43%
26%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
COM
0 - 2
MWI
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
MWI
3 - 0
BFA
18%
25%
57%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
BDI
0 - 0
MWI
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |