Tunisia vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.3%
10.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1963 |
COD
1 - 0
TUN
48%
21%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1963 |
TUN
2 - 0
CGO
73%
14%
12%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1963 |
TUN
3 - 1
CIV
61%
18%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1963 |
JOR
0 - 4
TUN
51%
20%
29%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
TUN
2 - 0
SYR
67%
16%
17%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1963 |
MAD
3 - 1
LBY
26%
23%
52%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |