Tunisia vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
LBY
1 - 2
TUN
26%
27%
47%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
TUN
0 - 0
CMR
45%
28%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
TUN
1 - 0
LBY
65%
22%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
TUN
1 - 2
CIV
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
TUN
1 - 0
MTN
74%
18%
8%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
LBY
1 - 2
TUN
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
MTN
0 - 0
LBY
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
LBY
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
TUN
1 - 0
LBY
65%
22%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
LBY
1 - 2
RSA
24%
26%
51%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |