Tunisia vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
12.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
TUN
3 - 3
GAB
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LBR
1 - 0
TUN
12%
21%
68%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2015 |
LBY
1 - 0
TUN
23%
27%
50%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
TUN
8 - 1
DJI
85%
12%
3%
|
83 | 37 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LBY
1 - 2
CPV
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
TAN
1 - 2
LBY
24%
27%
49%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2015 |
LBY
1 - 0
TUN
23%
27%
50%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
LBY
68%
21%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 2
LBY
60%
23%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |