Tunisia vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1978 |
LBY
0 - 0
TUN
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
TUN
4 - 1
EGY
49%
22%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1977 |
EGY
3 - 2
TUN
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
NGA
0 - 1
TUN
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
TUN
0 - 0
NGA
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1978 |
LBY
0 - 0
TUN
37%
24%
39%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1977 |
LBY
1 - 3
MMR
51%
21%
27%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 1977 |
MAS
1 - 1
LBY
72%
15%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 1977 |
THA
2 - 2
LBY
52%
21%
28%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1977 |
LBY
0 - 0
IRQ
41%
24%
35%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |