Tunisia vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1976 |
KSA
0 - 1
TUN
50%
23%
28%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
TUN
1 - 1
SWE
25%
25%
51%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1976 |
TUN
2 - 1
YUG
17%
22%
61%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1975 |
TUN
1 - 1
IRQ
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1975 |
TUN
3 - 0
GUI
57%
20%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1976 |
ALG
2 - 0
LBY
64%
19%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
LBY
1 - 0
ALG
50%
22%
29%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1976 |
LBY
0 - 1
ALG
51%
21%
28%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1976 |
MLT
2 - 2
LBY
58%
20%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1975 |
SRB
0 - 1
LBY
81%
12%
7%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |