Tunisia vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUN
45%
27%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
TUN
0 - 1
MAR
48%
27%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
EQG
1 - 1
TUN
11%
22%
67%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SLE
2 - 2
TUN
19%
26%
56%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TUN
2 - 1
SLE
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
CGO
0 - 1
BFA
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
GAB
0 - 0
CGO
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CGO
1 - 0
GAB
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
CGO
0 - 1
BFA
41%
27%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
EGY
3 - 0
CGO
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | -1 |