Tunisia vs Cape Verde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
TUN
0 - 0
MTN
78%
15%
6%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
MWI
0 - 1
TUN
17%
24%
59%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
TUN
4 - 0
STP
89%
9%
2%
|
84 | 39 | 45 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
JPN
2 - 0
TUN
75%
16%
10%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
KOR
4 - 0
TUN
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
SWZ
0 - 2
CPV
19%
24%
57%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
CPV
0 - 0
ANG
41%
26%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
CPV
1 - 2
COM
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
ALG
5 - 1
CPV
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
TOG
3 - 2
CPV
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |