Tunisia vs Cape Verde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
TUN
3 - 0
CGO
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUN
45%
27%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
TUN
0 - 1
MAR
48%
27%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
EQG
1 - 1
TUN
11%
22%
67%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SLE
2 - 2
TUN
19%
26%
56%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
CPV
1 - 0
SLE
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CPV
3 - 0
EQG
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
EQG
0 - 3
CPV
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
GHA
2 - 0
CPV
69%
19%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CPV
2 - 1
ANG
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |