Tunisia vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 0
TUN
70%
18%
11%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
KOR
0 - 1
TUN
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
TUN
73%
18%
9%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CMR
4 - 1
TUN
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
TUN
0 - 0
CMR
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
ANG
0 - 0
BOT
57%
26%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
GNB
1 - 1
BOT
28%
26%
47%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
GNB
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
LSO
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
4 - 2
TAN
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |