Tunisia vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.5%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14.5%
3-0
16%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.3%
2.3%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2004 |
TUN
0 - 4
ITA
17%
28%
56%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
TUN
1 - 0
MLI
57%
24%
18%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
TUN
0 - 2
CIV
52%
26%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
TUN
2 - 1
MAR
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
TUN
1 - 1
NGA
37%
27%
36%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2004 |
MOZ
0 - 0
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
NAM
0 - 0
BOT
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
LSO
0 - 0
BOT
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
BOT
0 - 2
ZIM
24%
27%
50%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
LSO
0 - 0
BOT
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |