Togo vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
55.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 1
TOG
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
KSA
1 - 0
TOG
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
TOG
1 - 1
MWI
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 2
TOG
19%
22%
59%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
GAB
3 - 0
TOG
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
TUN
2 - 2
MWI
72%
19%
9%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 3
TUN
9%
20%
71%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
TUN
0 - 1
BOT
73%
19%
8%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
SDN
2 - 6
TUN
25%
28%
48%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
TUN
1 - 1
FRA
16%
25%
59%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | +1 |