Togo vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
SEN
2 - 0
TOG
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
TOG
2 - 2
MTN
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
NIG
0 - 0
TOG
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
TOG
1 - 1
NIG
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
TOG
0 - 2
GHA
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
SDN
1 - 1
SSD
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SDN
0 - 0
SEN
15%
26%
58%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
OMA
0 - 0
SDN
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2024 |
SDN
2 - 1
ETH
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ETH
0 - 2
SDN
37%
26%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |