Togo vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
TOG
1 - 0
UGA
27%
27%
47%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TOG
5 - 0
DJI
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
LBR
2 - 2
TOG
28%
24%
47%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
TOG
1 - 0
ZAM
22%
26%
53%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
TOG
0 - 0
TUN
18%
25%
57%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MOZ
1 - 0
MUS
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
NAM
3 - 0
MOZ
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
COD
1 - 0
MOZ
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
RWA
2 - 3
MOZ
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
MOZ
0 - 0
GHA
17%
26%
58%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | +1 |