Togo vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
TOG
1 - 2
TUN
18%
26%
56%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 1
TOG
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
KSA
1 - 0
TOG
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
TOG
1 - 1
MWI
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 2
TOG
19%
22%
59%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
MWI
6 - 2
CHA
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ETH
1 - 0
CHA
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 3
TUN
9%
20%
71%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
13%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 2
TOG
19%
22%
59%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |