Sweden vs Latvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
ESP
3 - 0
SWE
65%
21%
14%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
SWE
1 - 1
NIR
74%
18%
8%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
LIE
0 - 3
SWE
12%
22%
66%
|
93 | 24 | 69 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
MNE
1 - 2
SWE
8%
19%
73%
|
93 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SWE
0 - 0
DEN
45%
26%
29%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Latvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
LVA
4 - 1
LIE
79%
15%
6%
|
74 | 25 | 49 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
DEN
3 - 1
LVA
83%
13%
4%
|
75 | 93 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ISL
2 - 4
LVA
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 0
LVA
84%
13%
3%
|
74 | 98 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
LVA
1 - 0
NIR
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |