Sweden vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
DEN
0 - 1
SWE
45%
27%
28%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
AUT
1 - 1
SWE
34%
27%
39%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
ITA
1 - 0
SWE
58%
24%
18%
|
94 | 97 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2000 |
NOR
1 - 1
SWE
41%
27%
32%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
RSA
1 - 0
SWE
11%
22%
68%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
ESP
2 - 0
ITA
57%
25%
19%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
CRO
0 - 0
ESP
19%
22%
59%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
ESP
3 - 0
POL
76%
16%
8%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1999 |
ESP
0 - 2
ARG
61%
22%
17%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
ESP
0 - 0
BRA
36%
25%
39%
|
97 | 99 | 2 | 0 |