Sweden vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
HUN
0 - 2
SWE
35%
25%
40%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
SWE
5 - 1
NIR
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
LUX
1 - 0
SWE
10%
20%
70%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
SWE
6 - 0
AZE
79%
15%
7%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SWE
2 - 1
SVK
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
ALG
2 - 0
RWA
88%
9%
3%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
ALG
2 - 0
RWA
87%
10%
3%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
ALG
3 - 0
GAM
85%
11%
5%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
GAM
0 - 0
ALG
13%
22%
65%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
ALG
5 - 1
MOZ
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |