South Sudan vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
SDN
1 - 0
GAB
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
SDN
0 - 0
RWA
62%
20%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
GHA
0 - 0
SDN
75%
18%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SDN
2 - 0
CGO
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
SDN
2 - 6
TUN
25%
28%
48%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
UGA
0 - 2
ALG
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
3 - 1
UGA
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
1 - 0
UGA
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
UGA
4 - 3
ETH
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
TAN
5 - 4
UGA
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |