South Sudan vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2009 |
ZAM
0 - 2
SDN
61%
24%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2009 |
BDI
1 - 0
SDN
25%
27%
49%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
SDN
1 - 1
DJI
82%
12%
6%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2008 |
KEN
0 - 0
SDN
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SDN
2 - 0
CGO
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
UGA
1 - 0
KEN
55%
23%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
UGA
5 - 0
BDI
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2009 |
UGA
2 - 1
TAN
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
UGA
4 - 0
SOM
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2009 |
UGA
4 - 0
RWA
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |