South Sudan vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
KEN
2 - 2
SDN
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
SDN
1 - 1
CMR
19%
25%
57%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
CIV
5 - 0
SDN
78%
16%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
SDN
0 - 1
LBY
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
BEN
1 - 1
SDN
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
UGA
2 - 0
SOM
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
UGA
0 - 1
RSA
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
BFA
2 - 0
UGA
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ZIM
2 - 0
UGA
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
KEN
4 - 1
UGA
45%
25%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |