Sudan vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
SDN
3 - 0
RWA
43%
24%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
ERI
0 - 0
SDN
8%
18%
74%
|
67 | 21 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
SDN
3 - 0
ERI
86%
10%
3%
|
67 | 21 | 46 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
YEM
1 - 2
SDN
34%
25%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
YEM
3 - 2
SDN
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
KEN
1 - 1
UGA
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
UGA
2 - 1
ERI
90%
8%
2%
|
72 | 21 | 51 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
MUS
3 - 1
UGA
15%
21%
64%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2003 |
UGA
2 - 1
TAN
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
UGA
3 - 0
MUS
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |