Sudan vs Swaziland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
ALG
0 - 1
SDN
72%
19%
10%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
SDN
1 - 1
ANG
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
SDN
1 - 1
NIG
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SDN
0 - 0
ALG
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
SDN
1 - 0
UGA
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SWZ
0 - 4
ZAM
13%
22%
66%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 0
SWZ
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CGO
3 - 1
SWZ
62%
23%
16%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
SWZ
0 - 3
GHA
11%
21%
68%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
MOZ
2 - 1
SWZ
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |