South Sudan vs Sierra Leone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
SDN
0 - 1
CGO
41%
26%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
RSA
2 - 1
SDN
70%
21%
9%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
NGA
3 - 1
SDN
84%
12%
4%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SDN
1 - 0
NGA
20%
27%
54%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
CGO
2 - 0
SDN
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
COD
3 - 1
SLE
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
SLE
1 - 5
CIV
18%
24%
58%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
CMR
2 - 0
SLE
71%
20%
10%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SLE
0 - 0
CMR
25%
28%
47%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
SLE
0 - 2
COD
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |