South Sudan vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
58.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
OMA
0 - 0
SDN
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2024 |
SDN
2 - 1
ETH
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ETH
0 - 2
SDN
37%
26%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
SDN
0 - 0
ANG
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
NIG
4 - 0
SDN
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
SEN
3 - 0
LBR
84%
12%
4%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
LBR
1 - 1
SEN
8%
22%
70%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
SEN
2 - 0
BDI
84%
12%
4%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
BFA
0 - 1
SEN
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
MWI
0 - 1
SEN
10%
22%
68%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |