African WC Qual. 1st and 2nd Round Final
Global 0-3
Sudan vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SDN
0 - 2
UGA
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
UGA
2 - 0
SDN
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
GAB
4 - 0
SDN
59%
25%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
SDN
1 - 0
SLE
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
SDN
0 - 1
CGO
41%
26%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NAM
0 - 0
ZAM
23%
25%
52%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
CGO
3 - 0
ZAM
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MOZ
1 - 1
ZAM
20%
25%
56%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MOZ
58%
25%
18%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
EGY
3 - 0
ZAM
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |