South Sudan vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
49.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2008 |
GUI
6 - 0
SDN
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2008 |
NGA
2 - 0
SDN
75%
18%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
SDN
4 - 2
RWA
55%
22%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
SDN
2 - 1
BDI
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2007 |
TAN
1 - 2
SDN
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 0
ZAM
63%
23%
15%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2008 |
TUN
1 - 0
ZAM
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
TUN
1 - 2
ZAM
59%
24%
18%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
TAN
1 - 0
ZAM
23%
24%
54%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
RSA
4 - 3
ZAM
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |