South Sudan vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
50.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
KEN
2 - 0
SDN
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
SDN
3 - 0
ERI
84%
12%
5%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SDN
1 - 3
LSO
73%
17%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
SDN
65%
23%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
SDN
1 - 3
GHA
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2014 |
NZL
0 - 0
RSA
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
AUS
1 - 1
RSA
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
RSA
0 - 5
BRA
5%
13%
82%
|
82 | 97 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
NGA
3 - 1
RSA
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
RSA
1 - 1
MLI
53%
26%
21%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |