South Sudan vs Nigeria analysis

South Sudan Nigeria
65 ELO 83
-12.8% Tilt -23.7%
2298º General ELO ranking 345º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
18.8%
South Sudan
23.8%
Draw
57.4%
Nigeria

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
South Sudan
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
57.4%
Win probability
Nigeria
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
South Sudan
+26%
-4%
Nigeria

ELO progression

South Sudan
Nigeria
Congo
Senegal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

South Sudan
South Sudan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2025
SDN
South Sudan
1 - 1
South Sudan
SSD
62%
21%
17%
65 50 15 0
22 Mar. 2025
SDN
South Sudan
0 - 0
Senegal
SEN
15%
26%
58%
65 87 22 0
13 Mar. 2025
OMA
Oman
0 - 0
South Sudan
SDN
67%
21%
12%
64 79 15 +1
25 Dec. 2024
SDN
South Sudan
2 - 1
Ethiopia
ETH
53%
24%
23%
64 57 7 0
22 Dec. 2024
ETH
Ethiopia
0 - 2
South Sudan
SDN
37%
26%
36%
63 59 4 +1

Matches

Nigeria
Nigeria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jun. 2025
RUS
Russia
1 - 1
Nigeria
NGA
66%
20%
15%
83 88 5 0
31 May. 2025
JAM
Jamaica
2 - 2
Nigeria
NGA
30%
27%
43%
83 77 6 0
28 May. 2025
NGA
Nigeria
2 - 1
Ghana
GHA
60%
23%
18%
83 79 4 0
25 Mar. 2025
NGA
Nigeria
1 - 1
Zimbabwe
ZIM
76%
17%
8%
83 62 21 0
21 Mar. 2025
RWA
Rwanda
0 - 2
Nigeria
NGA
15%
23%
61%
83 63 20 0