Sudan vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
56.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
SDN
1 - 1
SSD
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SDN
0 - 0
SEN
15%
26%
58%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
OMA
0 - 0
SDN
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2024 |
SDN
2 - 1
ETH
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ETH
0 - 2
SDN
37%
26%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2025 |
ZAN
0 - 0
NGA
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
RUS
1 - 1
NGA
66%
20%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
JAM
2 - 2
NGA
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
NGA
2 - 1
GHA
60%
23%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
NGA
1 - 1
ZIM
76%
17%
8%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |