South Sudan vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
CMR
2 - 1
SDN
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
SDN
3 - 1
ETH
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2004 |
KEN
1 - 2
SDN
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2004 |
SDN
1 - 2
BDI
70%
18%
13%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
SDN
4 - 0
SOM
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
GAB
2 - 3
CHA
82%
13%
5%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2005 |
CHA
0 - 0
EQG
13%
18%
69%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
ANG
2 - 0
CHA
82%
14%
5%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CHA
3 - 1
ANG
8%
17%
75%
|
40 | 75 | 35 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 0
ALG
9%
24%
67%
|
39 | 81 | 42 | +1 |