South Sudan vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SDN
1 - 2
NIG
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
LBY
0 - 1
SDN
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
SDN
0 - 1
ZAM
27%
26%
48%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SDN
2 - 0
RSA
16%
22%
63%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
STP
0 - 2
SDN
12%
19%
70%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SDN
1 - 2
NIG
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
GUI
2 - 1
NIG
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
NIG
0 - 1
CGO
32%
26%
43%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
GAM
2 - 0
NIG
51%
25%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 0
NIG
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |