South Sudan vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 1
SDN
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 0
SDN
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 25 | 41 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MUS
1 - 2
SDN
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
LBN
0 - 0
SDN
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
SDN
2 - 0
TKM
52%
22%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
RSA
2 - 0
MUS
75%
18%
8%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
SWZ
5 - 6
MUS
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MUS
1 - 2
SDN
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
MUS
0 - 3
CIV
6%
18%
77%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
SYC
2 - 1
MUS
36%
24%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |