South Sudan vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
SDN
1 - 2
GAB
27%
24%
49%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SLE
1 - 0
SDN
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
KEN
1 - 1
SDN
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
SDN
1 - 1
CIV
14%
22%
64%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 0
SDN
80%
15%
5%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MWI
0 - 1
MAD
47%
25%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MAD
1 - 0
MWI
34%
27%
40%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MAD
3 - 2
STP
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
STP
0 - 1
MAD
17%
21%
62%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ANG
1 - 1
MAD
59%
24%
16%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |